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Eritrea and Ethiopia Finally Give Peace a Chance

After 20 painful years, Ethiopia and Eritrea have finally decided to create a meaningful peace. The side-by-side new polities that went to war in 1998 – largely because of the narcissistic needs of their ethnically aligned leaders – have finally resolved the relatively minor issues that separated them. Ethiopian Airlines resumed flying from Addis Ababa … Continue reading

Africa’s Critical Challenges in 2018

Terrorism, civil conflict, global warming, population growth, urb- anization, education, economic sustainability, managing China, strengthening leadership and improving governance are Africa’s 10 most pressing problems as 2018 unfolds None of these acute challenges is new, but 2018 will see each of them become more central to Africa’s ability to improve the standards of living and … Continue reading

How Chinese Traders Out-Compete in Africa

In the high-density suburbs of Lusaka, Zambia’s capital, local chicken sellers complain that Chinese traders are stealing their customers by getting up earlier each morning, successfully outcompeting the traditional indigenous vendors.  “They get to the markets too early,” they told me when I asked about Chinese petty merchants in Lusaka. “Their chickens are cheaper, too,” … Continue reading

Will Africa Keep Rising?

Sub-Saharan Africa has been rising rapidly in this century, growing economically at an unprecedent- edly rapid pace from 2005 to 2015, with most of its 49 countries participating in a new post-colonial prosperity. But, with China’s own economic surge slipping, India and Japan weak, Europe lagging and North American demand limited, will sub-Saharan Africa stagnate … Continue reading

China Can Save South Sudan

China is South Sudan’s last best hope. Given the interminable bloodletting and brutal fratricide that engulfs Africa’s youngest nation, and given the inability of the African Union and United States to broker an effective peace, intervention and assistance by China may provide South Sudan with its only viable lifeline. South Sudan is in a parlous … Continue reading

Brazil Withdraws from Africa

  As China’s growth engines sputter, Europe remains weak and India focuses inward, African economies correspondingly retrench severely . Where African nations once were growing at a steady five percent a year, thanks to Chinese demand, now much of sub-Saharan Africa is increasing its GDP per capita at only two and three percent a year, with South … Continue reading

Why China is South Sudan’s Best Hope

  South Sudan, Africa’s youngest state, is ripe for rescue by China. Given the vicious bloodletting and ferocious fratricide engulfing the country, and given the inability of the African Union and United States to broker an effective peace, intervention and assistance by China provides South Sudan with its only viable lifeline. Only 11 years since … Continue reading

Southern Africa: Drought First, Famine Next

Warming waters in the east Pacific Ocean – the El Nino effect – is causing a massive drought in southern Africa, with famine to follow. Zimbabwe, in the centre of the southern third of the African continent, usually receives about 300 millimetres (12 inches) of rain by the middle of what is now the southern … Continue reading

Confronting Drugs, Crime, and Warfare in Africa

Drug smuggling and its profits help significantly to fuel Africa’s wars as criminal enterprises. Terrorists frequently build drug-driven hybrid organizations to finance their operations and to reap illicit rents. In Mali, the Central African Republic, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Somalia, conflict is strongly tied to drug trafficking by syndicates allied to al-Qaeda–associated insurgents. The … Continue reading

China’s Economic Slowdown Threatens African Progress

Africa’s prosperity increasingly depends on China. Given recent signs of a slowdown in the world’s largest economy, Africa’s short- and long-term outlooks seem precarious. The latest sign arrived on October 23 when China cut two benchmark interest rates to spur growth. It was the sixth time since November that China’s central bank has lowered rates … Continue reading

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